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The Journals of Gerontology Series A: Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences Advance Access published online on February 4, 2009

The Journals of Gerontology Series A: Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences, doi:10.1093/gerona/gln027
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© The Author 2009. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Gerontological Society of America. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org.

Recent Hospitalization and the Risk of Hip Fracture Among Older Americans

Fredric D. Wolinsky1,2, Suzanne E. Bentler2, Li Liu2, Maksym Obrizan2, Elizabeth A. Cook2, Kara B. Wright2, John F. Geweke2, Elizabeth A. Chrischilles2, Claire E. Pavlik2, Robert L. Ohsfeldt3, Michael P. Jones2, Kelly K. Richardson1,2, Gary E. Rosenthal1,2 and Robert B. Wallace2

1 The Iowa City VA Medical Center, Iowa City
2 The University of Iowa, Iowa City
3 Texas A&M University Health Science Center, College Station, Texas

Address all correspondence to Fredric D. Wolinsky, PhD, University of Iowa, 200 Hawkins Drive, E-205 General Hospital, Iowa City, IO 52242. Email: fredric-wolinsky{at}uiowa.edu


   Abstract

Background.: We identified hip fracture risks in a prospective national study.

Methods.: Baseline (1993–1994) interview data were linked to Medicare claims for 1993–2005. Participants were 5,511 self-respondents aged 70 years and older and not in managed Medicare. ICD9-CM 820.xx (International Classification of Diseases, 9th Edition, Clinical Modification) codes identified hip fracture. Participants were censored at death or enrollment into managed Medicare. Static risk factors included sociodemographic, socioeconomic, place of residence, health behavior, disease history, and functional and cognitive status measures. A time-dependent marker reflecting postbaseline hospitalizations was included.

Results.: A total of 495 (8.9%) participants suffered a postbaseline hip fracture. In the static proportional hazards model, the greatest risks involved age (adjusted hazard ratios [AHRs] of 2.01, 2.82, and 4.91 for 75–79, 80–84, and ≥85 year age groups vs those aged 70–74 years; p values <.001), sex (AHR = 0.45 for men vs women; p < .001), race (AHRs of 0.37 and 0.46 for African Americans and Hispanics vs whites; p values <.001 and <.01), body mass (AHRs of 0.40, 0.77, and 1.73 for obese, overweight, and underweight vs normal weight; p values <.001, <.05, and <.01), smoking status (AHRs = 1.49 and 1.52 for current and former smokers vs nonsmokers; p values <.05 and <.001), and diabetes (AHR = 1.99; p < .001). The time-dependent recent hospitalization marker did not alter the static model effect estimates, but it did substantially increase the risk of hip fracture (AHR = 2.51; p < .001).

Conclusions.: Enhanced discharge planning and home care for non–hip fracture hospitalizations could reduce subsequent hip fracture rates.

Keywords Hip fracture; Administrative; Claims data; Epidemiology

Received: April 24, 2008; Accepted: July 22, 2008


Decision Editor: Darryl Wieland, MPH, PhD


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