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The Journals of Gerontology Series A: Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences Advance Access originally published online on September 1, 2009
The Journals of Gerontology Series A: Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences 2009 64A(12):1251-1261; doi:10.1093/gerona/glp127
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© The Author 2009. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Gerontological Society of America. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org.

Total and Cause-Specific Mortality in the Cardiovascular Health Study

Anne B. Newman1,2, Michael C. Sachs3, Alice M. Arnold3, Linda P. Fried4, Richard Kronmal3, Mary Cushman5, Bruce M. Psaty6, Tamara B. Harris7, John A. Robbins8, Gregory L. Burke9, Lewis H. Kuller1 and Thomas Lumley3

1 Department of Epidemiology
2 Department of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
3 Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle
4 Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, New York
5 Department of Medicine, University of Vermont, Burlington
6 Departments of Medicine and Epidemiology, University of Washington, Seattle
7 Laboratory of Epidemiology, Biology and Demography, National Institute on Aging, Bethesda, Maryland
8 Department of Internal Medicine, University of California at Davis, Sacramento
9 Department of Public Health Sciences, Wake Forest University, Winston-Salem, North Carolina

Address correspondence to Anne B. Newman, MD, MPH, Departments of Epidemiology and Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, 130 North Bellefield Avenue Room 532, Pittsburgh, PA 15213. Email: newmana{at}edc.pitt.edu


   Abstract

Background: Few cohort studies have adequate numbers of carefully reviewed deaths to allow an analysis of unique and shared risk factors for cause-specific mortality. Shared risk factors could be targeted for prevention of premature death and the study of longevity.

Methods: A total of 5,888 community-dwelling persons aged 65 years or older living in four communities in the United States participated in the Cardiovascular Health Study cohort. Participants were initially recruited from 1989 to 1990; an additional 687 black participants were recruited in 1992–1993. The average length of follow-up was 16 years. Total and cause-specific mortality, including cardiovascular disease, stroke, cancer, dementia, pulmonary disease, infection, and other cause, were examined as outcomes. Variables previously associated with total mortality were examined for each cause of death using Cox proportional hazard models.

Results: Multiple risk factors were related to total mortality. When examining specific causes, many factors were related to cardiovascular death, whereas fewer were related to other causes. For most causes, risk factors were specific for that cause. For example, apolipoprotein E {epsilon}4 was strongly associated for dementia death and forced vital capacity with pulmonary death. Age, male sex, markers of inflammation, and cognitive function were related to multiple causes of death.

Conclusions: In these older adults, associations of risk factors with a given cause of death were related to specific deficits in that same organ system. Inflammation may represent a common pathway to all causes of death.

Keywords Mortality risk; Cause of death; Elderly participants

Received: January 20, 2009; Accepted: July 29, 2009


Decision Editor: Luigi Ferrucci MD, PhD


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